Al Ahli 1-1 Al Arabi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Qatar League, 16 Mar 2024

Al Ahli
1-1 HT 0-0
Al Arabi
📅16/03/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Qatar League – 2025/2026

Al Ahli vs Al Arabi Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.46
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
51%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.74
Over 2.5
53%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.43
No
48%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
6.34
2-3 Goals
36%
2.11
4-5 Goals
26%
2.53
6+ Goals
13%
5.39
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
10%
1/X
9%
X/1
8%
X/2
19%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
22%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
25%
+0.9pp
23%
Draw
22%
+1.4pp
51%
Away Win
53%
-2.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
33%
+14.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
67%
-14.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
66%
-14.2pp
48%
BTTS No
34%
+14.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Al Ahli v Al Arabi — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ahli EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Arabi EU Bookmakers 57%
-5% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +13%
0.77/1.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.88/0.80
-11% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +38%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
341 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 80%
15.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 42.0
10.5 Crosses 21.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.8

Al Ahli vs Al Arabi Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ahli
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Al Arabi
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
2.63 xG 2.81
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
227 Passes 348
68% Pass Accuracy 85%
18 Box Touches 34
11 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
11.11.2023 Al Arabi Al Arabi 0-6 HT 0-1 Al Ahli Al Ahli KATYK
29.10.2023 Al Arabi Al Arabi 2-3 HT 1-0 Al Ahli Al Ahli KAT
13.04.2023 Al Arabi Al Arabi 4-3 HT 2-2 Al Ahli Al Ahli KAT
05.01.2023 Al Ahli Al Ahli 1-2 HT 1-0 Al Arabi Al Arabi KAT
10.02.2022 Al Arabi Al Arabi 2-3 HT 2-2 Al Ahli Al Ahli KAT
08.01.2021 Al Arabi Al Arabi 1-0 HT 1-0 Al Ahli Al Ahli KAT
POST-MATCH Al Ahli vs Al Arabi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ahli and Al Arabi shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Al Arabi at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Al Ahli and 1.83 for Al Arabi.

What was the final score of Al Ahli vs Al Arabi?

Al Ahli 1-1 Al Arabi in the Qatar League on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ahli vs Al Arabi?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Arabi win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Al Ahli 26%, draw 23%, Al Arabi 51%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Arabi), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Arabi) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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