Umm Salal vs Al Wakrah Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Umm Salal v Al Wakrah — Team-Based Signals
Umm Salal vs Al Wakrah Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-1
Umm Salal
KAT
0-5
HT 0-2
Umm Salal
KATYK
0-0
HT 0-0
Al Wakrah
KAT
Umm Salal 0-1 Al Wakrah — Actual Match Statistics
Al Wakrah squeezed past Umm Salal 1-0 away from home.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Al Wakrah as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Umm Salal had 40% of the ball to Al Wakrah's 60%, shots finished 19-13, expected goals 1.30 to 0.87 — the balance of chances actually favoured Umm Salal.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Wakrah led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Umm Salal and 1.50 for Al Wakrah.
What was the final score of Umm Salal vs Al Wakrah?
Umm Salal 0-1 Al Wakrah in the Qatar League on 04/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Umm Salal vs Al Wakrah?
Before kick-off our model rated an Al Wakrah win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Umm Salal 31%, draw 21%, Al Wakrah 48%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Wakrah) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.