Al Shahaniya 2-3 Al Ahli — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Qatar League, 4 Apr 2025

📅04/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.32
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
48%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.29
Over 2.5
58%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.53
No
45%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.66
2-3 Goals
34%
1.91
4-5 Goals
26%
2.7
6+ Goals
17%
7.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
14%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
27%
+0.9pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.2pp
48%
Away Win
49%
-0.8pp
42%
Under 2.5
40%
+2.6pp
58%
Over 2.5
60%
-2.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
61%
-5.7pp
45%
BTTS No
39%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Shahaniya EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ahli EU Bookmakers 53%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.06/1.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.72/0.66
-21% / +61% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +56%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
278 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 368 · 82%
21.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9.0
19.1 Crosses 6.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Shahaniya
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Al Ahli
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.98 xG 1.74
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
405 Passes 314
86% Pass Accuracy 82%
18 Box Touches 19
12 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 0
01.11.2024 Al Ahli Al Ahli 2-1 HT 1-0 Al Shahaniya Al Shahaniya KAT
11.10.2024 Al Shahaniya Al Shahaniya 1-1 Al Ahli Al Ahli KATYK
26.07.2020 Al Shahaniya Al Shahaniya 3-1 HT 2-0 Al Ahli Al Ahli KAT
01.12.2019 Al Shahaniya Al Shahaniya 1-2 HT 0-0 Al Ahli Al Ahli KATYK
19.10.2019 Al Ahli Al Ahli 2-2 HT 2-1 Al Shahaniya Al Shahaniya KAT
16.04.2015 Al Ahli Al Ahli 2-0 HT 0-0 Al Shahaniya Al Shahaniya KAT
POST-MATCH Al Shahaniya vs Al Ahli
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ahli nicked a narrow win over Al Shahaniya 3-2 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al Ahli as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Ahli led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Al Shahaniya and 1.67 for Al Ahli.

What was the final score of Al Shahaniya vs Al Ahli?

Al Shahaniya 2-3 Al Ahli in the Qatar League on 04/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Shahaniya vs Al Ahli?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Ahli win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Al Shahaniya 28%, draw 24%, Al Ahli 48%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ahli), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Ahli) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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