Al Arabi vs Al Gharafa Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Al Arabi v Al Gharafa — Team-Based Signals
Al Arabi vs Al Gharafa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-1
HT 1-0
Al Arabi
KAT
0-1
HT 0-0
Al Gharafa
KAT
5-4
HT 3-3
Al Arabi
KAT
3-0
HT 0-0
Al Gharafa
KAT
0-1
HT 0-1
Al Arabi
KAT
1-0
HT 0-0
Al Gharafa
KATYK
Al Gharafa beat Al Arabi 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Al Gharafa as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Al Arabi and 1.50 for Al Gharafa.
What was the final score of Al Arabi vs Al Gharafa?
Al Arabi 1-3 Al Gharafa in the Qatar League on 04/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Al Arabi vs Al Gharafa?
Before kick-off our model rated an Al Gharafa win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Al Arabi 28%, draw 22%, Al Gharafa 51%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Gharafa), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.