Tadamon Sour 1-1 Al Nejmeh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lebanon - Premier League, 7 May 2025

📅07/05/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
5.4
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
44%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.54
Over 2.5
41%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.44
No
54%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
12%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
26%
X/X
14%
2/1
3%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
16%
+12.0pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.5pp
44%
Away Win
59%
-14.4pp
59%
Under 2.5
61%
-2.3pp
41%
Over 2.5
39%
+2.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
37%
+8.7pp
54%
BTTS No
63%
-8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tadamon Sour EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Nejmeh EU Bookmakers 62%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -31% / -31%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -86% / +73%
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
260 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 448 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tadamon Sour
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Al Nejmeh
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
07.02.2025 Al Nejmeh Al Nejmeh 1-0 HT 0-0 Tadamon Sour Tadamon Sour LUBN
POST-MATCH Tadamon Sour vs Al Nejmeh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tadamon Sour and Al Nejmeh shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Al Nejmeh at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Tadamon Sour vs Al Nejmeh?

Tadamon Sour 1-1 Al Nejmeh in the Lebanon - Premier League on 07/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tadamon Sour vs Al Nejmeh?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Nejmeh win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Tadamon Sour 28%, draw 28%, Al Nejmeh 44%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Al Nejmeh), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Nejmeh) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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LUBN More Lebanon - Premier League
7 May 2025
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