Al Ahed 1-2 Al Hikma — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lebanon - Premier League, 7 May 2025

📅07/05/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.42
Draw
25%
4.19
Away
15%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.91
Over 2.5
38%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.13
No
61%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
5%
X/X
14%
2/1
3%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
67%
-6.9pp
25%
Draw
21%
+4.2pp
15%
Away Win
12%
+2.7pp
62%
Under 2.5
48%
+13.6pp
38%
Over 2.5
52%
-13.6pp
39%
BTTS Yes
43%
-3.5pp
61%
BTTS No
57%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ahed EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Hikma EU Bookmakers 15%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
3.50/0.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.64/1.67
+82% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +67% / +51%
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
421 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ahed
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Al Hikma
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
07.02.2025 Al Ahed Al Ahed 3-1 HT 2-0 Al Hikma Al Hikma LUBN
POST-MATCH Al Ahed vs Al Hikma
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Hikma edged past Al Ahed 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

This one beat our numbers. Al Ahed carried 60% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Al Ahed vs Al Hikma?

Al Ahed 1-2 Al Hikma in the Lebanon - Premier League on 07/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ahed vs Al Hikma?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Ahed win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Al Ahed 60%, draw 25%, Al Hikma 15%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Al Ahed) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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LUBN More Lebanon - Premier League
7 May 2025
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