Toluca 4-0 Los Angeles FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CONCACAF Champions League, 7 May 2026

Toluca
4-0 HT 0-0
Los Angeles FC
📅07/05/2026 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
CONCACAF Champions League – 2026

Toluca vs Los Angeles FC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.53
Draw
25%
4.08
Away
19%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.29
Over 2.5
57%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.66
No
42%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.37
2-3 Goals
38%
1.85
4-5 Goals
27%
2.71
6+ Goals
12%
7.44
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
15%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
60%
-5.0pp
25%
Draw
21%
+4.5pp
19%
Away Win
19%
+0.5pp
43%
Under 2.5
40%
+3.4pp
57%
Over 2.5
60%
-3.4pp
58%
BTTS Yes
56%
+1.7pp
42%
BTTS No
44%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Toluca v Los Angeles FC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Toluca EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Los Angeles FC EU Bookmakers 22%
-60% / -60% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -34% / -34%
1.71/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/2.35
-26% / -67% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -33%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
392 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 82%
33.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
13.5 Crosses 7.6
1.0 Yellow Cards 3.3

Toluca vs Los Angeles FC Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Toluca
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Los Angeles FC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.91 xG 1.28
64% Ball Possession 36%
11 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 1
563 Passes 274
89% Pass Accuracy 79%
14 Box Touches 22
14 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
30.04.2026 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 2-1 HT 0-0 Toluca Toluca CON

Toluca 4-0 Los Angeles FC — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Toluca
4-0
AWAY Los Angeles FC
3.95 xG 1.22
64% Ball Possession 36%
31 Total Shots 5
15 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 2
458 Passes 204
90% Pass Accuracy 73%
32 Box Touches 10
19 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
FAQ Toluca vs Los Angeles FC
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Toluca ran out comfortable winners over Los Angeles FC 4-0 in the CONCACAF Champions League on 7 May 2026. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 57% and both teams to score was close to even at 58%.

On the day, Toluca had 64% of the ball to Los Angeles FC's 36%, shots finished 31-5, expected goals 3.95 to 1.22.

What was the final score of Toluca vs Los Angeles FC?

Toluca 4-0 Los Angeles FC in the CONCACAF Champions League on 07/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Toluca vs Los Angeles FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Toluca win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Toluca 55%, draw 25%, Los Angeles FC 19%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Toluca), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Toluca) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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