Univ College Dublin 2-1 Kerry — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 7 Jun 2024

📅07/06/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.57
Draw
28%
3.72
Away
23%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.78
Over 2.5
37%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.03
No
62%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
40%
2.98
2-3 Goals
36%
1.77
4-5 Goals
17%
3.92
6+ Goals
7%
17.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.98 — our 40% vs market 27.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
12%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
60%
-11.2pp
28%
Draw
24%
+4.4pp
23%
Away Win
17%
+6.8pp
63%
Under 2.5
52%
+10.1pp
37%
Over 2.5
48%
-10.1pp
38%
BTTS Yes
45%
-6.8pp
62%
BTTS No
55%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Univ College Dublin EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Kerry EU Bookmakers 20%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
2.41/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.54/1.74
+28% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -49% / +4%
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
291 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Univ College Dublin
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Kerry
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
61% Ball Possession 39%
12 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 5
10.05.2024 Kerry 1-2 HT 1-2 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin İR1
01.04.2024 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin 1-1 HT 1-0 Kerry İR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Univ College Dublin
2-1
AWAY Kerry
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 3
7 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Univ College Dublin vs Kerry
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Univ College Dublin nicked a narrow win over Kerry 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Univ College Dublin as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Univ College Dublin had 57% of the ball to Kerry's 43%, shots finished 15-3.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Univ College Dublin had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Univ College Dublin and 1.00 for Kerry.

What was the final score of Univ College Dublin vs Kerry?

Univ College Dublin 2-1 Kerry in the Ireland - 1st Division on 07/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Univ College Dublin vs Kerry?

Before kick-off our model rated a Univ College Dublin win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Univ College Dublin 48%, draw 28%, Kerry 23%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Univ College Dublin) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Univ College Dublin) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İR1 More Ireland - 1st Division
7 Jun 2024
21:45 Treaty United vs Bray Wanderers Analysis →
21:45 Cobh Ramblers vs Finn Harps Analysis →
21:45 Cork City vs Longford Town Analysis →