Manly United 1-0 APIA Leichhardt Tigers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 7 Jun 2024

Manly United
1-0 HT 0-0
APIA Leichhardt Tigers
📅07/06/2024 · 🕒12:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
Australia - National Premier League – 2024

Manly United vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
5.4
Draw
22%
4.49
Away
56%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
2.74
Over 2.5
66%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.56
No
43%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
37%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
5%
X/X
6%
2/1
4%
2/2
44%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
15%
+6.5pp
22%
Draw
19%
+3.3pp
56%
Away Win
66%
-9.8pp
34%
Under 2.5
33%
+1.1pp
66%
Over 2.5
67%
-1.1pp
57%
BTTS Yes
60%
-2.7pp
43%
BTTS No
40%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Manly United v APIA Leichhardt Tigers — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Manly United EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY APIA Leichhardt Tigers EU Bookmakers 70%
+27% / +27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
1.62/1.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.05/1.57
+59% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -39%
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
222 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 381 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses 21.1
– Yellow Cards 1.8

Manly United vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Manly United
4W-0D-2L
AWAY APIA Leichhardt Tigers
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.13 xG 1.57
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
334 Passes 252
73% Pass Accuracy 68%
13 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
22.07.2023 Manly United Manly United 4-0 HT 1-0 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers AVNPL
07.04.2023 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers 3-1 HT 1-0 Manly United Manly United AVNPL
28.05.2022 Manly United Manly United 4-1 HT 2-0 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers AVNPL
11.03.2022 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers 1-0 HT 1-0 Manly United Manly United AVNPL
11.06.2021 Manly United Manly United 2-1 HT 1-1 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers AVNPL
27.03.2021 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers 1-2 HT 0-1 Manly United Manly United AVNPL
POST-MATCH Manly United vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Manly United squeezed past APIA Leichhardt Tigers 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

This one beat our numbers. APIA Leichhardt Tigers carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Manly United had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Manly United and 1.17 for APIA Leichhardt Tigers.

What was the final score of Manly United vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers?

Manly United 1-0 APIA Leichhardt Tigers in the Australia - National Premier League on 07/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Manly United vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers?

Before kick-off our model rated an APIA Leichhardt Tigers win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Manly United 22%, draw 22%, APIA Leichhardt Tigers 56%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (APIA Leichhardt Tigers) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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