NE MetroStars 3-3 Campbelltown City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 7 Jun 2024

📅07/06/2024 · 🕒13:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.75
Draw
21%
3.94
Away
31%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
31%
2.63
Over 2.5
69%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.43
No
43%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
9%
2/1
13%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
54%
-5.5pp
21%
Draw
22%
-1.6pp
31%
Away Win
24%
+7.1pp
31%
Under 2.5
34%
-3.4pp
69%
Over 2.5
66%
+3.4pp
57%
BTTS Yes
66%
-9.1pp
43%
BTTS No
34%
+9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME NE MetroStars EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Campbelltown City EU Bookmakers 27%
-24% / -37% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +9%
1.63/1.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.69/0.95
-22% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -52% / +103%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
272 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 421 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME NE MetroStars
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Campbelltown City
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
08.03.2024 Campbelltown City Campbelltown City 2-0 HT 1-0 NE MetroStars NE MetroStars AVNPL
27.05.2023 Campbelltown City Campbelltown City 0-1 HT 0-0 NE MetroStars NE MetroStars AVNPL
04.03.2023 NE MetroStars NE MetroStars 3-2 HT 2-1 Campbelltown City Campbelltown City AVNPL
04.06.2022 NE MetroStars NE MetroStars 2-0 HT 0-0 Campbelltown City Campbelltown City AVNPL
25.02.2022 Campbelltown City Campbelltown City 2-3 HT 1-2 NE MetroStars NE MetroStars AVNPL
06.08.2021 NE MetroStars NE MetroStars 3-0 HT 0-0 Campbelltown City Campbelltown City AVNPL
POST-MATCH NE MetroStars vs Campbelltown City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

NE MetroStars and Campbelltown City couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was NE MetroStars at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (69%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, NE MetroStars had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for NE MetroStars and 1.00 for Campbelltown City.

What was the final score of NE MetroStars vs Campbelltown City?

NE MetroStars 3-3 Campbelltown City in the Australia - National Premier League on 07/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for NE MetroStars vs Campbelltown City?

Before kick-off our model rated a NE MetroStars win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split NE MetroStars 48%, draw 21%, Campbelltown City 31%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (NE MetroStars) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (NE MetroStars) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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