EM Mahdia 0-3 Zarzis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme, 7 Jun 2024

📅07/06/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
4.65
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
52%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.67
Over 2.5
45%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.13
No
58%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
4%
X/2
19%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
26%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
19%
+4.8pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.6pp
52%
Away Win
57%
-5.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.9pp
42%
BTTS Yes
43%
-0.8pp
58%
BTTS No
57%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME EM Mahdia EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Zarzis EU Bookmakers 61%
+54% / +54% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+150% / +50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
240 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 391 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME EM Mahdia
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Zarzis
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
0 Total Shots 15
0 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 2
11.12.2022 Zarzis Zarzis 2-0 HT 1-0 EM Mahdia TUN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME EM Mahdia
0-3
AWAY Zarzis
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH EM Mahdia vs Zarzis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zarzis ran out comfortable winners over EM Mahdia 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Zarzis as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (58%) landed while under 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

On the day, EM Mahdia had 42% of the ball to Zarzis's 58%, shots finished 9-9.

What was the final score of EM Mahdia vs Zarzis?

EM Mahdia 0-3 Zarzis in the Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme on 07/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for EM Mahdia vs Zarzis?

Before kick-off our model rated an Zarzis win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split EM Mahdia 23%, draw 25%, Zarzis 52%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zarzis), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zarzis) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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