Stade Gabesien 0-1 Jerba — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme, 7 Jun 2024

📅07/06/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.82
Draw
37%
3.64
Away
22%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.74
Over 2.5
55%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.9
No
48%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
3%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
6%
X/X
19%
2/1
4%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
51%
-9.8pp
37%
Draw
24%
+13.3pp
22%
Away Win
25%
-3.4pp
45%
Under 2.5
54%
-8.8pp
55%
Over 2.5
46%
+8.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.8pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stade Gabesien EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Jerba EU Bookmakers 29%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.22/0.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.40/1.11
-9% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -51% / +24%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
300 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stade Gabesien
0-1
AWAY Jerba
61% Ball Possession 39%
10 Total Shots 7
0 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Stade Gabesien vs Jerba
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jerba edged past Stade Gabesien 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (41% / 37% / 22%) promised a tight game; Jerba found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Stade Gabesien had 61% of the ball to Jerba's 39%, shots finished 10-7.

What was the final score of Stade Gabesien vs Jerba?

Stade Gabesien 0-1 Jerba in the Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme on 07/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stade Gabesien vs Jerba?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stade Gabesien win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Stade Gabesien 41%, draw 37%, Jerba 22%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Stade Gabesien) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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