Cuiaba 1-0 Paysandu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 7 Jun 2025

📅07/06/2025 · 🕒03:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.64
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
23%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.56
Over 2.5
39%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.27
No
58%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.33
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
18%
4.73
6+ Goals
9%
27.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
57%
-8.4pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.6pp
23%
Away Win
17%
+6.8pp
61%
Under 2.5
60%
+0.4pp
39%
Over 2.5
40%
-0.4pp
42%
BTTS Yes
40%
+2.3pp
58%
BTTS No
60%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cuiaba EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Paysandu EU Bookmakers 20%
-3% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -8%
1.46/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.55/1.15
+16% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -2%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
356 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 77%
20.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.8
21.7 Crosses 15.4
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.7
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cuiaba
1-0
AWAY Paysandu
2.27 xG 0.73
65% Ball Possession 35%
21 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 3
390 Passes 167
83% Pass Accuracy 66%
30 Box Touches 9
30 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cuiaba vs Paysandu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cuiaba edged past Paysandu 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Cuiaba as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Cuiaba had 65% of the ball to Paysandu's 35%, shots finished 21-8, expected goals 2.27 to 0.73 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Cuiaba's control.

What was the final score of Cuiaba vs Paysandu?

Cuiaba 1-0 Paysandu in the Brazil - Serie B on 07/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cuiaba vs Paysandu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cuiaba win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Cuiaba 49%, draw 28%, Paysandu 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cuiaba), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cuiaba) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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