Supra du Québec 1-1 Pacific FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kanada - Premier League, 7 Jun 2026

📅07/06/2026 · 🕒02:25 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.64
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
18%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.23
Over 2.5
49%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.61
No
50%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
4.33
2-3 Goals
41%
1.84
4-5 Goals
22%
2.72
6+ Goals
9%
7.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.33 — our 28% vs market 16.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
5%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
57%
+0.8pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.1pp
18%
Away Win
20%
-2.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
41%
+10.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
59%
-10.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.6pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Supra du Québec EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Pacific FC EU Bookmakers 23%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -2%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / +4%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
376 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.9
Crosses 15.5
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Supra du Québec
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Pacific FC
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.39 xG 2.22
42% Ball Possession 58%
15 Total Shots 15
10 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
308 Passes 464
76% Pass Accuracy 83%
25 Box Touches 34
11 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.04.2026 Pacific FC Pacific FC 2-3 HT 0-1 Supra du Québec KAPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Supra du Québec
1-1
AWAY Pacific FC
0.59 xG 1.26
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 1
397 Passes 388
14 Box Touches 17
11 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Supra du Québec vs Pacific FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Supra du Québec and Pacific FC shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Supra du Québec at 58% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, shots finished 13-8, expected goals 0.59 to 1.26.

What was the final score of Supra du Québec vs Pacific FC?

Supra du Québec 1-1 Pacific FC in the Kanada - Premier League on 07/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Supra du Québec vs Pacific FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Supra du Québec win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Supra du Québec 58%, draw 24%, Pacific FC 18%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Supra du Québec) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Supra du Québec) ✓ Under 2.5
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