York United 1-4 Forge — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kanada - Premier League, 7 Jun 2026

📅07/06/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.5
Draw
31%
3.45
Away
45%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.82
Over 2.5
53%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.81
No
43%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
3.04
2-3 Goals
36%
1.72
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
26%
3.44
6+ Goals
9%
13.85
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.44 — our 26% vs market 22.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
21%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
25%
-0.6pp
31%
Draw
26%
+5.2pp
45%
Away Win
49%
-4.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
51%
-4.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
49%
+4.1pp
57%
BTTS Yes
51%
+5.5pp
43%
BTTS No
49%
-5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME York United EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Forge EU Bookmakers 54%
+5% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +17%
1.07/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.62/1.04
-11% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / +90%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
272 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 80%
17.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.9
15.9 Crosses 16.5
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME York United
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Forge
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.73 xG 1.62
49% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
393 Passes 404
86% Pass Accuracy 86%
17 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.10.2025 Forge Forge 3-0 HT 2-0 York United York United KAPL
09.08.2025 York United York United 1-2 HT 1-1 Forge Forge KAPL
29.06.2025 Forge Forge 2-2 HT 1-2 York United York United KAPL
27.04.2025 York United York United 2-2 HT 2-2 Forge Forge KAPL
28.09.2024 Forge Forge 2-0 HT 0-0 York United York United KAPL
24.08.2024 York United York United 0-0 HT 0-0 Forge Forge KAPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME York United
1-4
AWAY Forge
0.80 xG 2.01
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 26
3 Shots on Target 13
3 Corners 4
451 Passes 322
17 Box Touches 30
15 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH York United vs Forge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Forge cruised past York United 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Forge as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, York United had 52% of the ball to Forge's 48%, shots finished 9-26, expected goals 0.80 to 2.01.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Forge led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for York United and 1.83 for Forge.

What was the final score of York United vs Forge?

York United 1-4 Forge in the Kanada - Premier League on 07/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for York United vs Forge?

Before kick-off our model rated an Forge win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split York United 24%, draw 31%, Forge 45%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Forge), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Forge) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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