York United 0-0 Forge — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kanada - Premier League, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.84
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
48%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.15
Over 2.5
52%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.6
No
47%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.13
2-3 Goals
47%
1.85
4-5 Goals
20%
3.04
6+ Goals
9%
9.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
28%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
32%
-3.0pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.7pp
48%
Away Win
44%
+4.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
43%
+5.7pp
52%
Over 2.5
57%
-5.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.7pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME York United EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Forge EU Bookmakers 48%
-16% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.16/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/1.00
-34% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +47% / -5%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
310 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 80%
19.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.9
19.8 Crosses 19.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME York United
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Forge
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.81 xG 1.75
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
347 Passes 423
83% Pass Accuracy 87%
18 Box Touches 29
18 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 4
01.06.2024 Forge Forge 3-0 HT 2-0 York United York United CAPL
21.04.2024 York United York United 0-3 HT 0-1 Forge Forge CAPL
13.08.2023 Forge Forge 3-3 HT 1-0 York United York United CAPL
10.07.2023 York United York United 0-4 HT 0-2 Forge Forge KAPL
01.06.2023 Forge Forge 1-2 HT 0-0 York United York United KAPL
06.05.2023 York United York United 0-1 HT 0-1 Forge Forge KAPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME York United
0-0
AWAY Forge
0.57 xG 0.47
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
359 Passes 376
83% Pass Accuracy 83%
24 Box Touches 15
12 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH York United vs Forge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

York United and Forge played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Forge at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, York United had 49% of the ball to Forge's 51%, shots finished 11-12, expected goals 0.57 to 0.47.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Forge led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for York United and 2.50 for Forge.

What was the final score of York United vs Forge?

York United 0-0 Forge in the Kanada - Premier League on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for York United vs Forge?

Before kick-off our model rated an Forge win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split York United 29%, draw 23%, Forge 48%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Forge) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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