HFX Wanderers 1-1 Atletico Ottawa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kanada - Premier League, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.09
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
27%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.75
Over 2.5
44%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.98
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
3.92
6+ Goals
10%
17.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
44%
-1.4pp
31%
Draw
27%
+3.4pp
27%
Away Win
29%
-2.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
53%
+2.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
47%
-2.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.2pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME HFX Wanderers EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Ottawa EU Bookmakers 32%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
3.39/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.10
+98% / -43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +5%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
341 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 77%
31.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.1
16.6 Crosses 13.4
0.8 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME HFX Wanderers
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Atletico Ottawa
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.49 xG 1.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 2
434 Passes 358
84% Pass Accuracy 83%
20 Box Touches 21
13 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.06.2024 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa 2-2 HT 0-1 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers CAPL
27.04.2024 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers 1-3 HT 0-1 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa CAPL
19.09.2023 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers 3-2 HT 0-1 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa CAPL
23.07.2023 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers 1-0 HT 1-0 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa KAPL
04.06.2023 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa 2-0 HT 0-0 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers CAPL
15.04.2023 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa 1-1 HT 1-1 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers CAPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME HFX Wanderers
1-1
AWAY Atletico Ottawa
1.32 xG 0.69
59% Ball Possession 41%
6 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 5
392 Passes 249
83% Pass Accuracy 79%
8 Box Touches 16
5 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH HFX Wanderers vs Atletico Ottawa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

HFX Wanderers and Atletico Ottawa shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was HFX Wanderers at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, HFX Wanderers had 59% of the ball to Atletico Ottawa's 41%, shots finished 6-9, expected goals 1.32 to 0.69.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for HFX Wanderers and 1.67 for Atletico Ottawa.

What was the final score of HFX Wanderers vs Atletico Ottawa?

HFX Wanderers 1-1 Atletico Ottawa in the Kanada - Premier League on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for HFX Wanderers vs Atletico Ottawa?

Before kick-off our model rated a HFX Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split HFX Wanderers 43%, draw 31%, Atletico Ottawa 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (HFX Wanderers) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (HFX Wanderers) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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