York United vs Forge Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
York United v Forge — Team-Based Signals
York United vs Forge Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
York United 1-2 Forge — Actual Match Statistics
Forge nicked a narrow win over York United 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Forge as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, York United had 51% of the ball to Forge's 49%, shots finished 10-12, expected goals 0.57 to 0.96.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Forge led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for York United and 2.00 for Forge.
What was the final score of York United vs Forge?
York United 1-2 Forge in the Kanada - Premier League on 09/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for York United vs Forge?
Before kick-off our model rated an Forge win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split York United 25%, draw 26%, Forge 49%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Forge), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.