York United vs Forge Prediction — Model Probabilities
York United v Forge — Team-Based Signals
York United vs Forge Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
York United 1-2 Forge — Actual Match Statistics
Forge nicked a narrow win over York United 2-1 on the road. It stood 1-1 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Forge as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, possession split 51% to 49% in York United's favour, shots finished 10-12, expected goals 0.57 to 0.96.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Forge led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.67 a game for York United against 2.00 for Forge.
York United vs Forge Result & Final Score
York United 1 - 2 Forge in the Canada - Premier League on 09/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
York United vs Forge Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Forge win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split York United 26%, draw 29%, Forge 45%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Forge), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.