York United 2-2 Forge — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kanada - Premier League, 27 Apr 2025

York United
2-2 HT 2-2
Forge
📅27/04/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Kanada - Premier League – 2025

York United vs Forge Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.94
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
40%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.78
Over 2.5
43%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.76
No
48%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
2.9
2-3 Goals
44%
1.74
4-5 Goals
16%
3.7
6+ Goals
11%
16.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.9 — our 29% vs market 27.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
14%
X/X
17%
2/1
4%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
30%
-1.0pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.9pp
40%
Away Win
42%
-2.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.1pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

York United v Forge — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME York United EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Forge EU Bookmakers 46%
-14% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -1%
0.92/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.24
-30% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -9%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
267 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 76%
19.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.3
20.0 Crosses 17.1
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.9

York United vs Forge Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME York United
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Forge
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.56 xG 1.59
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
380 Passes 426
85% Pass Accuracy 87%
17 Box Touches 26
17 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
28.09.2024 Forge Forge 2-0 HT 0-0 York United York United KAPL
24.08.2024 York United York United 0-0 HT 0-0 Forge Forge KAPL
01.06.2024 Forge Forge 3-0 HT 2-0 York United York United CAPL
21.04.2024 York United York United 0-3 HT 0-1 Forge Forge CAPL
13.08.2023 Forge Forge 3-3 HT 1-0 York United York United CAPL
10.07.2023 York United York United 0-4 HT 0-2 Forge Forge KAPL

York United 2-2 Forge — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME York United
2-2
AWAY Forge
1.69 xG 2.87
48% Ball Possession 52%
16 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 1
362 Passes 394
85% Pass Accuracy 82%
31 Box Touches 14
18 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH York United vs Forge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

York United and Forge couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2.

Our pre-match split (29% / 30% / 40%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, York United had 48% of the ball to Forge's 52%, shots finished 16-8, expected goals 1.69 to 2.87.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Forge led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for York United and 2.50 for Forge.

What was the final score of York United vs Forge?

York United 2-2 Forge in the Kanada - Premier League on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for York United vs Forge?

Before kick-off our model rated an Forge win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split York United 29%, draw 30%, Forge 40%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Forge), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Forge) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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