Cavalry 1-3 Atletico Ottawa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kanada - Premier League, 27 Apr 2025

📅27/04/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.0
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
30%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.8
Over 2.5
44%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.81
No
54%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.97
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
3.63
6+ Goals
9%
15.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.97 — our 31% vs market 26.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-4.4pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.9pp
30%
Away Win
27%
+2.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.7pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cavalry EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Ottawa EU Bookmakers 31%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +17%
1.21/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.10
-3% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / +14%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
374 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 76%
24.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.2
17.6 Crosses 13.5
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cavalry
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Atletico Ottawa
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.36 xG 0.79
55% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
393 Passes 312
83% Pass Accuracy 80%
22 Box Touches 14
22 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.09.2024 Cavalry Cavalry 2-2 HT 1-1 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa KAPL
04.08.2024 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa 1-2 HT 0-0 Cavalry Cavalry KAPL
22.06.2024 Cavalry Cavalry 1-1 HT 1-1 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa CAPL
20.04.2024 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa 1-1 HT 0-0 Cavalry Cavalry CAPL
03.09.2023 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa 1-2 HT 0-1 Cavalry Cavalry CAPL
30.07.2023 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa 1-0 HT 1-0 Cavalry Cavalry KAPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cavalry
1-3
AWAY Atletico Ottawa
1.87 xG 1.28
49% Ball Possession 51%
18 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
323 Passes 348
83% Pass Accuracy 84%
29 Box Touches 26
22 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cavalry vs Atletico Ottawa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Ottawa saw off Cavalry 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Cavalry at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Cavalry had 49% of the ball to Atletico Ottawa's 51%, shots finished 18-15, expected goals 1.87 to 1.28 — on chances, Cavalry could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cavalry had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Cavalry and 1.17 for Atletico Ottawa.

What was the final score of Cavalry vs Atletico Ottawa?

Cavalry 1-3 Atletico Ottawa in the Kanada - Premier League on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cavalry vs Atletico Ottawa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cavalry win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Cavalry 42%, draw 28%, Atletico Ottawa 30%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Cavalry) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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