Atletico Ottawa 1-2 Cavalry — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kanada - Premier League, 4 Aug 2024

Atletico Ottawa
1-2 HT 0-0
Cavalry
📅04/08/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Kanada - Premier League – 2024

Atletico Ottawa vs Cavalry Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.33
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
33%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.6
Over 2.5
46%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
No
49%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.5
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
4.72
6+ Goals
10%
26.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
39%
-0.8pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.7pp
33%
Away Win
34%
-0.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
59%
-4.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
41%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Atletico Ottawa v Cavalry — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Ottawa EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Cavalry EU Bookmakers 37%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.45/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.39
-10% / +137% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -41% / +5%
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
314 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 78%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.2
13.0 Crosses 17.4
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.8

Atletico Ottawa vs Cavalry Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Ottawa
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Cavalry
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.84 xG 1.25
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
264 Passes 408
77% Pass Accuracy 84%
13 Box Touches 19
15 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
22.06.2024 Cavalry Cavalry 1-1 HT 1-1 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa CAPL
20.04.2024 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa 1-1 HT 0-0 Cavalry Cavalry CAPL
03.09.2023 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa 1-2 HT 0-1 Cavalry Cavalry CAPL
30.07.2023 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa 1-0 HT 1-0 Cavalry Cavalry KAPL
13.07.2023 Cavalry Cavalry 0-2 HT 0-0 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa KAPL
22.05.2023 Cavalry Cavalry 2-0 HT 1-0 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa CAPL

Atletico Ottawa 1-2 Cavalry — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Ottawa
1-2
AWAY Cavalry
0.88 xG 1.54
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 4
381 Passes 264
84% Pass Accuracy 79%
24 Box Touches 16
13 Crosses 11
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Atletico Ottawa vs Cavalry
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cavalry nicked a narrow win over Atletico Ottawa 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 29% / 33%) promised a tight game; Cavalry found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Atletico Ottawa had 57% of the ball to Cavalry's 43%, shots finished 18-16, expected goals 0.88 to 1.54.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Atletico Ottawa and 1.00 for Cavalry.

What was the final score of Atletico Ottawa vs Cavalry?

Atletico Ottawa 1-2 Cavalry in the Kanada - Premier League on 04/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Ottawa vs Cavalry?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Ottawa win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Atletico Ottawa 38%, draw 29%, Cavalry 33%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Atletico Ottawa), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atletico Ottawa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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