Cavalry 1-1 Atletico Ottawa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kanada - Premier League, 22 Jun 2024

Cavalry
1-1 HT 1-1
Atletico Ottawa
📅22/06/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Kanada - Premier League – 2024

Cavalry vs Atletico Ottawa Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.38
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
40%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.67
Over 2.5
37%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.88
No
60%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
2.67
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
16%
4.39
6+ Goals
7%
22.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.67 — our 35% vs market 31.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
38%
-5.5pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.5pp
40%
Away Win
34%
+6.1pp
63%
Under 2.5
56%
+7.3pp
37%
Over 2.5
44%
-7.3pp
40%
BTTS Yes
49%
-8.8pp
60%
BTTS No
51%
+8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Cavalry v Atletico Ottawa — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cavalry EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Ottawa EU Bookmakers 37%
+19% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
1.31/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/0.88
+18% / +50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +49% / +89%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
309 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 75%
21.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
24.2 Crosses 14.2
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.5

Cavalry vs Atletico Ottawa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cavalry
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Atletico Ottawa
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.32 xG 0.77
62% Ball Possession 38%
13 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
412 Passes 228
85% Pass Accuracy 74%
20 Box Touches 12
25 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
20.04.2024 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa 1-1 HT 0-0 Cavalry Cavalry CAPL
03.09.2023 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa 1-2 HT 0-1 Cavalry Cavalry CAPL
30.07.2023 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa 1-0 HT 1-0 Cavalry Cavalry KAPL
13.07.2023 Cavalry Cavalry 0-2 HT 0-0 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa KAPL
22.05.2023 Cavalry Cavalry 2-0 HT 1-0 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa CAPL
25.09.2022 Cavalry Cavalry 1-3 HT 0-1 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa CAPL

Cavalry 1-1 Atletico Ottawa — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cavalry
1-1
AWAY Atletico Ottawa
1.18 xG 0.95
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
411 Passes 386
85% Pass Accuracy 84%
19 Box Touches 14
20 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Cavalry vs Atletico Ottawa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cavalry and Atletico Ottawa couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 28% / 40% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (63%) landed while no to both teams scoring (60%) missed.

On the day, Cavalry had 51% of the ball to Atletico Ottawa's 49%, shots finished 14-14, expected goals 1.18 to 0.95.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Ottawa led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Cavalry and 1.33 for Atletico Ottawa.

What was the final score of Cavalry vs Atletico Ottawa?

Cavalry 1-1 Atletico Ottawa in the Kanada - Premier League on 22/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cavalry vs Atletico Ottawa?

Before kick-off our model rated an Atletico Ottawa win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Cavalry 33%, draw 28%, Atletico Ottawa 40%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Atletico Ottawa), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atletico Ottawa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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