Cavalry 2-2 Atletico Ottawa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kanada - Premier League, 16 Sep 2024

📅16/09/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.92
Draw
32%
3.35
Away
29%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.68
Over 2.5
34%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
1.9
No
62%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.74
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
15%
4.25
6+ Goals
8%
21.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.74 — our 34% vs market 30.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
15%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
48%
-9.0pp
32%
Draw
26%
+5.2pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+3.8pp
66%
Under 2.5
56%
+10.2pp
34%
Over 2.5
44%
-10.2pp
38%
BTTS Yes
49%
-10.6pp
62%
BTTS No
51%
+10.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cavalry EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Ottawa EU Bookmakers 29%
+33% / +33% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
0.92/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/1.22
+3% / +70% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / +14%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
373 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 71%
23.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.1
20.0 Crosses 13.7
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cavalry
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Atletico Ottawa
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.29 xG 0.92
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
384 Passes 297
83% Pass Accuracy 79%
19 Box Touches 16
20 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
04.08.2024 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa 1-2 HT 0-0 Cavalry Cavalry KAPL
22.06.2024 Cavalry Cavalry 1-1 HT 1-1 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa CAPL
20.04.2024 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa 1-1 HT 0-0 Cavalry Cavalry CAPL
03.09.2023 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa 1-2 HT 0-1 Cavalry Cavalry CAPL
30.07.2023 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa 1-0 HT 1-0 Cavalry Cavalry KAPL
13.07.2023 Cavalry Cavalry 0-2 HT 0-0 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa KAPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cavalry
2-2
AWAY Atletico Ottawa
0.91 xG 0.91
61% Ball Possession 39%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 6
473 Passes 271
86% Pass Accuracy 80%
26 Box Touches 8
19 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cavalry vs Atletico Ottawa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cavalry and Atletico Ottawa couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 32% / 29% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Cavalry had 61% of the ball to Atletico Ottawa's 39%, shots finished 14-14, expected goals 0.91 to 0.91.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Cavalry and 1.17 for Atletico Ottawa.

What was the final score of Cavalry vs Atletico Ottawa?

Cavalry 2-2 Atletico Ottawa in the Kanada - Premier League on 16/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cavalry vs Atletico Ottawa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cavalry win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Cavalry 39%, draw 32%, Atletico Ottawa 29%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Cavalry) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →