Forge 2-2 York United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kanada - Premier League, 29 Jun 2025

📅29/06/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.64
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
25%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.95
Over 2.5
51%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.76
No
50%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
3.44
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.22
6+ Goals
11%
11.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.44 — our 25% vs market 22.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
56%
-6.6pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.0pp
25%
Away Win
20%
+5.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.1pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Forge EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY York United EU Bookmakers 23%
-1% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -7%
1.61/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.20
+7% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +31%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
358 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 79%
24.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.1
15.4 Crosses 18.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Forge
3W-3D-0L
AWAY York United
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.66 xG 0.69
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
421 Passes 380
86% Pass Accuracy 85%
22 Box Touches 20
13 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
27.04.2025 York United York United 2-2 HT 2-2 Forge Forge KAPL
28.09.2024 Forge Forge 2-0 HT 0-0 York United York United KAPL
24.08.2024 York United York United 0-0 HT 0-0 Forge Forge KAPL
01.06.2024 Forge Forge 3-0 HT 2-0 York United York United CAPL
21.04.2024 York United York United 0-3 HT 0-1 Forge Forge CAPL
13.08.2023 Forge Forge 3-3 HT 1-0 York United York United CAPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Forge
2-2
AWAY York United
2.25 xG 0.59
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
330 Passes 351
85% Pass Accuracy 87%
32 Box Touches 11
19 Crosses 8
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Forge vs York United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Forge and York United couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match lean was Forge at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Forge had 50% of the ball to York United's 50%, shots finished 13-7, expected goals 2.25 to 0.59.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Forge had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Forge and 0.83 for York United.

What was the final score of Forge vs York United?

Forge 2-2 York United in the Kanada - Premier League on 29/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Forge vs York United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Forge win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Forge 50%, draw 25%, York United 25%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Forge) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Forge) ✓ Over 2.5
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