Cavalry 0-2 Atletico Ottawa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kanada - Premier League, 29 Jun 2025

📅29/06/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.86
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
32%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.91
Over 2.5
49%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.3
2-3 Goals
36%
1.77
4-5 Goals
25%
3.33
6+ Goals
10%
12.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.3 — our 29% vs market 23.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
14%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
50%
-10.3pp
29%
Draw
25%
+3.2pp
32%
Away Win
25%
+7.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.8pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cavalry EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Ottawa EU Bookmakers 29%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +13%
1.22/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.24
-4% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / +12%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
390 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 78%
26.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.8
19.6 Crosses 13.5
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cavalry
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Atletico Ottawa
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.36 xG 0.86
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
374 Passes 330
83% Pass Accuracy 81%
24 Box Touches 15
21 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.04.2025 Cavalry Cavalry 1-3 HT 0-0 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa KAPL
16.09.2024 Cavalry Cavalry 2-2 HT 1-1 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa KAPL
04.08.2024 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa 1-2 HT 0-0 Cavalry Cavalry KAPL
22.06.2024 Cavalry Cavalry 1-1 HT 1-1 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa CAPL
20.04.2024 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa 1-1 HT 0-0 Cavalry Cavalry CAPL
03.09.2023 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa 1-2 HT 0-1 Cavalry Cavalry CAPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cavalry
0-2
AWAY Atletico Ottawa
0.92 xG 0.81
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 3
430 Passes 379
87% Pass Accuracy 84%
29 Box Touches 23
20 Crosses 2
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Cavalry vs Atletico Ottawa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Ottawa beat Cavalry 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 29% / 32% — and on the day Atletico Ottawa made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Cavalry had 53% of the ball to Atletico Ottawa's 47%, shots finished 15-11, expected goals 0.92 to 0.81.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cavalry had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Cavalry and 1.50 for Atletico Ottawa.

What was the final score of Cavalry vs Atletico Ottawa?

Cavalry 0-2 Atletico Ottawa in the Kanada - Premier League on 29/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cavalry vs Atletico Ottawa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cavalry win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Cavalry 39%, draw 29%, Atletico Ottawa 32%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Cavalry), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cavalry) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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