Forge 3-0 York United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kanada - Premier League, 18 Oct 2025

📅18/10/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.64
Draw
19%
3.72
Away
19%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.97
Over 2.5
54%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.44
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
26%
3.18
6+ Goals
11%
11.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
26%
X/2
6%
X/X
8%
2/1
13%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
57%
+5.0pp
19%
Draw
24%
-4.2pp
19%
Away Win
19%
-0.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
47%
-0.7pp
54%
Over 2.5
53%
+0.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.2pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Forge EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY York United EU Bookmakers 22%
+1% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -1%
1.97/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.53
+14% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +33%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
403 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 78%
26.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.3
14.6 Crosses 17.6
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Forge
3W-3D-0L
AWAY York United
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.47 xG 0.72
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
399 Passes 383
86% Pass Accuracy 86%
21 Box Touches 19
12 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
09.08.2025 York United York United 1-2 HT 1-1 Forge Forge KAPL
29.06.2025 Forge Forge 2-2 HT 1-2 York United York United KAPL
27.04.2025 York United York United 2-2 HT 2-2 Forge Forge KAPL
28.09.2024 Forge Forge 2-0 HT 0-0 York United York United KAPL
24.08.2024 York United York United 0-0 HT 0-0 Forge Forge KAPL
01.06.2024 Forge Forge 3-0 HT 2-0 York United York United CAPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Forge
3-0
AWAY York United
1.57 xG 0.38
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 2
531 Passes 462
91% Pass Accuracy 88%
17 Box Touches 10
12 Crosses 11
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Forge vs York United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Forge cruised past York United 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Forge as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Forge had 53% of the ball to York United's 47%, shots finished 10-6, expected goals 1.57 to 0.38.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Forge had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Forge and 0.83 for York United.

What was the final score of Forge vs York United?

Forge 3-0 York United in the Kanada - Premier League on 18/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Forge vs York United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Forge win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Forge 62%, draw 19%, York United 19%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Forge), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Forge) ✓ Over 2.5
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