HFX Wanderers vs Atletico Ottawa Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
HFX Wanderers v Atletico Ottawa — Team-Based Signals
HFX Wanderers vs Atletico Ottawa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
HFX Wanderers 0-1 Atletico Ottawa — Actual Match Statistics
Atletico Ottawa edged past HFX Wanderers 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (40% / 27% / 32%) promised a tight game; Atletico Ottawa found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, HFX Wanderers had 36% of the ball to Atletico Ottawa's 64%, shots finished 5-15, expected goals 0.83 to 0.91.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for HFX Wanderers and 1.33 for Atletico Ottawa.
What was the final score of HFX Wanderers vs Atletico Ottawa?
HFX Wanderers 0-1 Atletico Ottawa in the Kanada - Premier League on 18/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for HFX Wanderers vs Atletico Ottawa?
Before kick-off our model rated a HFX Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split HFX Wanderers 40%, draw 27%, Atletico Ottawa 32%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.