Atletico Ottawa 2-2 HFX Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kanada - Premier League, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.05
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
26%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.68
Over 2.5
36%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.85
No
56%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
36%
2.68
2-3 Goals
41%
1.73
4-5 Goals
18%
4.01
6+ Goals
5%
19.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.68 — our 36% vs market 30.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
18%
2/1
3%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
45%
+0.7pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.2pp
26%
Away Win
26%
-0.8pp
64%
Under 2.5
56%
+8.2pp
36%
Over 2.5
44%
-8.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
50%
-6.5pp
56%
BTTS No
50%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Ottawa EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY HFX Wanderers EU Bookmakers 30%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
0.95/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.44
-36% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% / -29%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
266 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 80%
17.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.7
13.5 Crosses 12.1
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Ottawa
1W-3D-2L
AWAY HFX Wanderers
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.13 xG 1.47
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
329 Passes 395
82% Pass Accuracy 83%
20 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 2
29.09.2024 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa 1-1 HT 1-0 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers KAPL
24.08.2024 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers 1-1 HT 0-0 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa KAPL
02.06.2024 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa 2-2 HT 0-1 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers CAPL
27.04.2024 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers 1-3 HT 0-1 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa CAPL
19.09.2023 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers 3-2 HT 0-1 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa CAPL
23.07.2023 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers 1-0 HT 1-0 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa KAPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Ottawa
2-2
AWAY HFX Wanderers
3.50 xG 2.16
52% Ball Possession 48%
20 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
340 Passes 312
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
40 Box Touches 21
19 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Atletico Ottawa vs HFX Wanderers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Ottawa and HFX Wanderers couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Atletico Ottawa at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Atletico Ottawa had 52% of the ball to HFX Wanderers's 48%, shots finished 20-10, expected goals 3.50 to 2.16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, HFX Wanderers led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Atletico Ottawa and 1.50 for HFX Wanderers.

What was the final score of Atletico Ottawa vs HFX Wanderers?

Atletico Ottawa 2-2 HFX Wanderers in the Kanada - Premier League on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Ottawa vs HFX Wanderers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Ottawa win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Atletico Ottawa 45%, draw 29%, HFX Wanderers 26%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Atletico Ottawa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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