Vancouver FC 2-2 Cavalry — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kanada - Premier League, 18 Oct 2025

📅18/10/2025 · 🕒23:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.69
Draw
20%
3.54
Away
51%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.07
Over 2.5
49%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.66
No
51%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.7
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
3.02
6+ Goals
9%
9.86
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.7 — our 32% vs market 20.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
6%
2/1
6%
2/2
32%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
24%
+5.2pp
20%
Draw
25%
-4.7pp
51%
Away Win
52%
-0.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.0pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vancouver FC EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Cavalry EU Bookmakers 56%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
1.08/1.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/0.82
-3% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / +12%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
290 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 418 · 83%
18.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.2
15.9 Crosses 16.2
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vancouver FC
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Cavalry
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.95 xG 1.24
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
244 Passes 415
76% Pass Accuracy 84%
17 Box Touches 25
18 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.08.2025 Cavalry Cavalry 5-4 HT 3-2 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC KAPL
14.07.2025 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Cavalry Cavalry KAPL
19.04.2025 Cavalry Cavalry 1-1 HT 0-1 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC KAPL
29.09.2024 Cavalry Cavalry 0-0 HT 0-0 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC KAPL
27.07.2024 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC 0-1 HT 0-1 Cavalry Cavalry KAPL
17.06.2024 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Cavalry Cavalry CAPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vancouver FC
2-2
AWAY Cavalry
1.42 xG 1.75
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 8
213 Passes 324
74% Pass Accuracy 82%
8 Box Touches 44
13 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Vancouver FC vs Cavalry
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vancouver FC and Cavalry couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Cavalry at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Vancouver FC had 42% of the ball to Cavalry's 58%, shots finished 9-17, expected goals 1.42 to 1.75.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cavalry led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Vancouver FC and 1.17 for Cavalry.

What was the final score of Vancouver FC vs Cavalry?

Vancouver FC 2-2 Cavalry in the Kanada - Premier League on 18/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vancouver FC vs Cavalry?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cavalry win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Vancouver FC 29%, draw 20%, Cavalry 51%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Cavalry) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
KAPL More Kanada - Premier League
18 Oct 2025
23:00 Forge vs York United Analysis →
23:15 Pacific FC vs Valour Analysis →
23:15 HFX Wanderers vs Atletico Ottawa Analysis →