Cavalry 1-1 Vancouver FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kanada - Premier League, 19 Apr 2025

📅19/04/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.42
Draw
26%
4.19
Away
18%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.95
Over 2.5
47%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.06
No
54%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.4
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
3.26
6+ Goals
10%
11.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.4 — our 29% vs market 23.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
66%
-10.1pp
26%
Draw
21%
+4.8pp
18%
Away Win
13%
+5.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.3pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cavalry EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Vancouver FC EU Bookmakers 16%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.25/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/2.02
-21% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -41% / +0%
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
410 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 238 · 74%
27.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.6
21.3 Crosses 11.7
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cavalry
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Vancouver FC
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.41 xG 0.90
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
438 Passes 282
85% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Box Touches 13
16 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
29.09.2024 Cavalry Cavalry 0-0 HT 0-0 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC KAPL
27.07.2024 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC 0-1 HT 0-1 Cavalry Cavalry KAPL
17.06.2024 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Cavalry Cavalry CAPL
04.05.2024 Cavalry Cavalry 3-1 HT 2-0 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC CAPL
17.09.2023 Cavalry Cavalry 2-1 HT 1-0 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC CAPL
23.07.2023 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC 1-5 HT 1-3 Cavalry Cavalry KAPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cavalry
1-1
AWAY Vancouver FC
0.59 xG 1.16
66% Ball Possession 34%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 8
397 Passes 158
81% Pass Accuracy 65%
26 Box Touches 24
27 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Cavalry vs Vancouver FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cavalry and Vancouver FC couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. Cavalry carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Cavalry had 66% of the ball to Vancouver FC's 34%, shots finished 11-12, expected goals 0.59 to 1.16.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cavalry had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Cavalry and 0.50 for Vancouver FC.

What was the final score of Cavalry vs Vancouver FC?

Cavalry 1-1 Vancouver FC in the Kanada - Premier League on 19/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cavalry vs Vancouver FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cavalry win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Cavalry 56%, draw 26%, Vancouver FC 18%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Cavalry), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cavalry) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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