Vancouver FC 0-1 Cavalry — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kanada - Premier League, 27 Jul 2024

📅27/07/2024 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.94
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
42%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.86
Over 2.5
50%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.73
No
54%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
11%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
25%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
30%
+1.9pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.5pp
42%
Away Win
42%
-0.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
50%
-0.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
50%
+0.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
54%
-8.3pp
54%
BTTS No
46%
+8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vancouver FC EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Cavalry EU Bookmakers 46%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -38% / -38%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -64% / -17%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
290 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 375 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.1
Crosses 18.1
Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vancouver FC
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Cavalry
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.10 xG 1.77
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
266 Passes 460
78% Pass Accuracy 87%
15 Box Touches 24
17 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 0
17.06.2024 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Cavalry Cavalry CAPL
04.05.2024 Cavalry Cavalry 3-1 HT 2-0 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC CAPL
17.09.2023 Cavalry Cavalry 2-1 HT 1-0 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC CAPL
23.07.2023 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC 1-5 HT 1-3 Cavalry Cavalry KAPL
12.06.2023 Cavalry Cavalry 3-1 HT 3-1 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC CAPL
08.05.2023 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Cavalry Cavalry CAPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vancouver FC
0-1
AWAY Cavalry
0.51 xG 1.23
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 6
361 Passes 464
81% Pass Accuracy 85%
11 Box Touches 17
25 Crosses 15
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Vancouver FC vs Cavalry
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cavalry nicked a narrow win over Vancouver FC 1-0 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Cavalry as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Vancouver FC had 46% of the ball to Cavalry's 54%, shots finished 10-13, expected goals 0.51 to 1.23.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cavalry led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Vancouver FC and 2.33 for Cavalry.

What was the final score of Vancouver FC vs Cavalry?

Vancouver FC 0-1 Cavalry in the Kanada - Premier League on 27/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vancouver FC vs Cavalry?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cavalry win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Vancouver FC 32%, draw 26%, Cavalry 42%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cavalry), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cavalry) ✓ BTTS No
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