York United 4-1 Atletico Ottawa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kanada - Premier League, 27 Jul 2024

📅27/07/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
4.04
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
43%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.9
Over 2.5
49%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.81
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.34
2-3 Goals
37%
1.79
4-5 Goals
28%
3.53
6+ Goals
7%
13.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
4%
X/2
19%
X/X
11%
2/1
12%
2/2
22%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
22%
+7.0pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.8pp
44%
Away Win
54%
-10.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
49%
+1.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
51%
-1.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.4pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME York United EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Ottawa EU Bookmakers 57%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-31% / +55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
297 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 79%
18.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.3 Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME York United
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Atletico Ottawa
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.16 xG 1.13
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
367 Passes 344
82% Pass Accuracy 81%
15 Box Touches 22
17 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
15.06.2024 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa 1-2 HT 0-1 York United York United CAPL
13.04.2024 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa 2-1 HT 0-0 York United York United CAPL
01.10.2023 York United York United 1-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa CAPL
06.08.2023 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa 3-3 HT 1-2 York United York United CAPL
10.06.2023 York United York United 2-1 HT 1-1 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa KAPL
30.04.2023 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa 0-1 HT 0-1 York United York United KAPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME York United
4-1
AWAY Atletico Ottawa
1.59 xG 0.86
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 0
444 Passes 360
92% Pass Accuracy 87%
22 Box Touches 8
13 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH York United vs Atletico Ottawa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

York United cruised past Atletico Ottawa 4-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Atletico Ottawa at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, York United had 54% of the ball to Atletico Ottawa's 46%, shots finished 9-12, expected goals 1.59 to 0.86.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, York United had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for York United and 1.17 for Atletico Ottawa.

What was the final score of York United vs Atletico Ottawa?

York United 4-1 Atletico Ottawa in the Kanada - Premier League on 27/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for York United vs Atletico Ottawa?

Before kick-off our model rated an Atletico Ottawa win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split York United 29%, draw 28%, Atletico Ottawa 44%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Atletico Ottawa), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atletico Ottawa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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