Atletico Ottawa 1-2 York United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kanada - Premier League, 15 Jun 2024

Atletico Ottawa
1-2 HT 0-1
York United
📅15/06/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Kanada - Premier League – 2024

Atletico Ottawa vs York United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.57
Draw
27%
3.8
Away
27%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.97
Over 2.5
48%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.7
2-3 Goals
37%
1.82
4-5 Goals
24%
3.28
6+ Goals
10%
11.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.7 — our 29% vs market 21.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
59%
-13.8pp
27%
Draw
23%
+4.3pp
27%
Away Win
18%
+9.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
47%
+5.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
53%
-5.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.8pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Atletico Ottawa v York United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Ottawa EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY York United EU Bookmakers 21%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
0.80/0.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.50
-22% / +138% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +40% / -26%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
366 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 78%
18.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.4
17.1 Crosses 12.0
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.5

Atletico Ottawa vs York United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Ottawa
1W-2D-3L
AWAY York United
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.20 xG 1.19
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
289 Passes 396
79% Pass Accuracy 84%
17 Box Touches 16
16 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
13.04.2024 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa 2-1 HT 0-0 York United York United CAPL
01.10.2023 York United York United 1-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa CAPL
06.08.2023 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa 3-3 HT 1-2 York United York United CAPL
10.06.2023 York United York United 2-1 HT 1-1 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa KAPL
30.04.2023 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa 0-1 HT 0-1 York United York United KAPL
10.10.2022 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa 2-2 HT 2-0 York United York United KAPL

Atletico Ottawa 1-2 York United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Ottawa
1-2
AWAY York United
1.17 xG 0.90
63% Ball Possession 37%
21 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 2
511 Passes 275
88% Pass Accuracy 79%
45 Box Touches 7
30 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Atletico Ottawa vs York United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

York United edged past Atletico Ottawa 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Atletico Ottawa at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Atletico Ottawa had 63% of the ball to York United's 37%, shots finished 21-8, expected goals 1.17 to 0.90.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, York United led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Atletico Ottawa and 1.67 for York United.

What was the final score of Atletico Ottawa vs York United?

Atletico Ottawa 1-2 York United in the Kanada - Premier League on 15/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Ottawa vs York United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Ottawa win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Atletico Ottawa 46%, draw 27%, York United 27%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Atletico Ottawa), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atletico Ottawa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
CAPL More Kanada - Premier League
15 Jun 2024
23:00 HFX Wanderers vs Forge Analysis →