Atletico Ottawa 2-1 York United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kanada - Premier League, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.33
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
35%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.78
Over 2.5
40%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
1.76
No
62%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
3.02
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
3.87
6+ Goals
9%
17.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.02 — our 35% vs market 27.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
39%
-0.2pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.7pp
35%
Away Win
34%
+1.0pp
60%
Under 2.5
52%
+7.7pp
40%
Over 2.5
48%
-7.7pp
38%
BTTS Yes
53%
-14.4pp
62%
BTTS No
47%
+14.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Ottawa EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY York United EU Bookmakers 37%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-5% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
316 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 77%
18.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
13.9 Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Ottawa
1W-2D-3L
AWAY York United
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.49 xG 1.08
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
292 Passes 422
80% Pass Accuracy 86%
18 Box Touches 18
14 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.10.2023 York United York United 1-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa CAPL
06.08.2023 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa 3-3 HT 1-2 York United York United CAPL
10.06.2023 York United York United 2-1 HT 1-1 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa KAPL
30.04.2023 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa 0-1 HT 0-1 York United York United KAPL
10.10.2022 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa 2-2 HT 2-0 York United York United KAPL
24.07.2022 York United York United 0-3 HT 0-2 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa KAPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Ottawa
2-1
AWAY York United
1.37 xG 1.79
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
273 Passes 279
75% Pass Accuracy 75%
20 Box Touches 12
17 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Atletico Ottawa vs York United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Ottawa nicked a narrow win over York United 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 26% / 35%) promised a tight game; Atletico Ottawa found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Atletico Ottawa had 49% of the ball to York United's 51%, shots finished 10-14, expected goals 1.37 to 1.79 — on chances, York United could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, York United led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Atletico Ottawa and 1.50 for York United.

What was the final score of Atletico Ottawa vs York United?

Atletico Ottawa 2-1 York United in the Kanada - Premier League on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Ottawa vs York United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Ottawa win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Atletico Ottawa 39%, draw 26%, York United 35%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Ottawa) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atletico Ottawa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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