HFX Wanderers 2-2 Forge — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kanada - Premier League, 15 Jun 2024

📅15/06/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.8
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
44%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.74
Over 2.5
43%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.81
No
53%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.92
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.0
6+ Goals
7%
18.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
22%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
32%
-4.2pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.1pp
44%
Away Win
40%
+4.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
54%
+2.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
46%
-2.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.4pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME HFX Wanderers EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Forge EU Bookmakers 43%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -1%
1.35/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/0.84
-36% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +92%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
297 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 76%
22.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.4
15.9 Crosses 16.3
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME HFX Wanderers
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Forge
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.14 xG 1.07
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
330 Passes 461
83% Pass Accuracy 86%
17 Box Touches 22
12 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 3
30.09.2023 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers 2-1 HT 2-1 Forge Forge CAPL
20.08.2023 Forge Forge 1-1 HT 0-1 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers CAPL
01.07.2023 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers 2-1 HT 1-0 Forge Forge KAPL
22.04.2023 Forge Forge 1-1 HT 0-1 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers CAPL
09.10.2022 Forge Forge 1-0 HT 1-0 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers CAPL
06.08.2022 Forge Forge 1-0 HT 1-0 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers CAPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME HFX Wanderers
2-2
AWAY Forge
1.00 xG 1.69
41% Ball Possession 59%
5 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 9
314 Passes 480
82% Pass Accuracy 88%
16 Box Touches 30
7 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH HFX Wanderers vs Forge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

HFX Wanderers and Forge couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Forge at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, HFX Wanderers had 41% of the ball to Forge's 59%, shots finished 5-17, expected goals 1.00 to 1.69.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for HFX Wanderers and 1.00 for Forge.

What was the final score of HFX Wanderers vs Forge?

HFX Wanderers 2-2 Forge in the Kanada - Premier League on 15/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for HFX Wanderers vs Forge?

Before kick-off our model rated an Forge win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split HFX Wanderers 28%, draw 28%, Forge 44%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Forge) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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