HFX Wanderers 3-1 Pacific FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kanada - Premier League, 19 Apr 2025

📅19/04/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.9
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
24%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.71
Over 2.5
54%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.88
No
48%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2.74
2-3 Goals
43%
1.74
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
27%
3.93
6+ Goals
7%
18.35
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.93 — our 27% vs market 19.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
26%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
49%
-0.2pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.8pp
24%
Away Win
24%
-0.6pp
46%
Under 2.5
55%
-8.5pp
54%
Over 2.5
45%
+8.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.7pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME HFX Wanderers EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Pacific FC EU Bookmakers 28%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +8%
1.81/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.02
+25% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +7%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
389 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 75%
19.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.9
10.2 Crosses 18.7
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME HFX Wanderers
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Pacific FC
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.98 xG 1.22
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
414 Passes 303
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
25 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 3
19.09.2024 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers 2-2 HT 0-0 Pacific FC Pacific FC KAPL
08.09.2024 Pacific FC Pacific FC 3-0 HT 1-0 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers KAPL
08.06.2024 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers 0-0 HT 0-0 Pacific FC Pacific FC CAPL
14.04.2024 Pacific FC Pacific FC 1-0 HT 1-0 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers CAPL
14.10.2023 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers 0-1 HT 0-1 Pacific FC Pacific FC CAPL
09.09.2023 Pacific FC Pacific FC 1-1 HT 0-1 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers CAPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME HFX Wanderers
3-1
AWAY Pacific FC
1.77 xG 1.44
44% Ball Possession 56%
18 Total Shots 15
8 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
297 Passes 385
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
25 Box Touches 25
22 Crosses 22
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH HFX Wanderers vs Pacific FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

HFX Wanderers saw off Pacific FC 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had HFX Wanderers as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, HFX Wanderers had 44% of the ball to Pacific FC's 56%, shots finished 18-15, expected goals 1.77 to 1.44.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pacific FC led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for HFX Wanderers and 1.33 for Pacific FC.

What was the final score of HFX Wanderers vs Pacific FC?

HFX Wanderers 3-1 Pacific FC in the Kanada - Premier League on 19/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for HFX Wanderers vs Pacific FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a HFX Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split HFX Wanderers 49%, draw 28%, Pacific FC 24%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (HFX Wanderers), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (HFX Wanderers) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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