HFX Wanderers 2-2 Pacific FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kanada - Premier League, 19 Sep 2024

📅19/09/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.0
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
28%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.8
Over 2.5
48%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.04
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.83
6+ Goals
9%
16.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
13%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
46%
-2.9pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.7pp
28%
Away Win
27%
+0.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.8pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME HFX Wanderers EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Pacific FC EU Bookmakers 31%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
2.60/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.18
+48% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +52%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
401 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 77%
22.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.5
12.5 Crosses 13.4
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME HFX Wanderers
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Pacific FC
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.94 xG 1.34
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
459 Passes 298
85% Pass Accuracy 78%
26 Box Touches 22
20 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 3
08.09.2024 Pacific FC Pacific FC 3-0 HT 1-0 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers KAPL
08.06.2024 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers 0-0 HT 0-0 Pacific FC Pacific FC CAPL
14.04.2024 Pacific FC Pacific FC 1-0 HT 1-0 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers CAPL
14.10.2023 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers 0-1 HT 0-1 Pacific FC Pacific FC CAPL
09.09.2023 Pacific FC Pacific FC 1-1 HT 0-1 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers CAPL
07.08.2023 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers 1-2 HT 0-1 Pacific FC Pacific FC KAPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME HFX Wanderers
2-2
AWAY Pacific FC
1.01 xG 1.21
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 9
267 Passes 327
74% Pass Accuracy 77%
18 Box Touches 28
9 Crosses 27
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH HFX Wanderers vs Pacific FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

HFX Wanderers and Pacific FC shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was HFX Wanderers at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, HFX Wanderers had 45% of the ball to Pacific FC's 55%, shots finished 11-14, expected goals 1.01 to 1.21.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pacific FC led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for HFX Wanderers and 1.33 for Pacific FC.

What was the final score of HFX Wanderers vs Pacific FC?

HFX Wanderers 2-2 Pacific FC in the Kanada - Premier League on 19/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for HFX Wanderers vs Pacific FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a HFX Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split HFX Wanderers 43%, draw 29%, Pacific FC 28%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (HFX Wanderers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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