Atletico Ottawa 3-2 York United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kanada - Premier League, 19 Apr 2025

📅19/04/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.61
Draw
21%
3.64
Away
24%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.78
Over 2.5
46%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.99
No
59%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.88
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
24%
3.73
6+ Goals
8%
16.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
58%
-2.8pp
21%
Draw
24%
-3.4pp
24%
Away Win
18%
+6.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.2pp
41%
BTTS Yes
46%
-5.4pp
59%
BTTS No
54%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Ottawa EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY York United EU Bookmakers 21%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -7%
1.88/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.20
-21% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +27%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
364 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 75%
27.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.1
18.2 Crosses 18.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Ottawa
1W-1D-4L
AWAY York United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.06 xG 1.05
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
351 Passes 422
81% Pass Accuracy 84%
21 Box Touches 15
17 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 3
27.10.2024 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa 2-2 HT 0-0 York United York United KAPL
07.10.2024 York United York United 1-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa KAPL
27.07.2024 York United York United 4-1 HT 1-1 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa KAPL
15.06.2024 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa 1-2 HT 0-1 York United York United CAPL
13.04.2024 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa 2-1 HT 0-0 York United York United CAPL
01.10.2023 York United York United 1-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa CAPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Ottawa
3-2
AWAY York United
2.33 xG 1.04
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 2
424 Passes 273
85% Pass Accuracy 81%
27 Box Touches 15
11 Crosses 6
3 Yellow Cards 7
FAQ Atletico Ottawa vs York United
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Atletico Ottawa edged past York United 3-2 in the Kanada - Premier League on 19 Apr 2025. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 41%.

On the day, Atletico Ottawa had 60% of the ball to York United's 40%, shots finished 16-9, expected goals 2.33 to 1.04.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, York United lead the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Atletico Ottawa and 1.83 for York United.

What was the final score of Atletico Ottawa vs York United?

Atletico Ottawa 3-2 York United in the Kanada - Premier League on 19/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Ottawa vs York United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Ottawa win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Atletico Ottawa 55%, draw 21%, York United 24%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Ottawa) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atletico Ottawa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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