Atletico Ottawa vs York United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Atletico Ottawa v York United — Team-Based Signals
Atletico Ottawa vs York United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Atletico Ottawa 3-2 York United — Actual Match Statistics
Atletico Ottawa came out on the right side of a one-goal game with York United 3-2. The 0-1 half-time score told a different story — this one turned on its head late. A 5-goal game — the defences never settled.
True to our pre-match read, our model had Atletico Ottawa as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 48% and both teams to score at 47%, coin-flips both.
The match data tells the story: possession split 60% to 40% in Atletico Ottawa's favour, shots finished 16-9, expected goals 2.33 to 1.04 — on chances created, Atletico Ottawa won this by more than the scoreboard admits.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, York United led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.00 a game for Atletico Ottawa against 1.83 for York United.
Atletico Ottawa vs York United Result & Final Score
Atletico Ottawa 3 - 2 York United in the Canada - Premier League on 19/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Atletico Ottawa vs York United Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Ottawa win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Atletico Ottawa 62%, draw 22%, York United 16%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Ottawa) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.