York United 1-0 Atletico Ottawa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kanada - Premier League, 7 Oct 2024

📅07/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.08
Draw
33%
3.28
Away
39%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.78
Over 2.5
48%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.76
No
44%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.07
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
3.82
6+ Goals
8%
16.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
25%
2/X
17%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
29%
-0.8pp
33%
Draw
27%
+5.9pp
39%
Away Win
44%
-5.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.3pp
56%
BTTS Yes
53%
+3.0pp
44%
BTTS No
47%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME York United EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Ottawa EU Bookmakers 48%
-17% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
1.04/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/0.42
-46% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +9%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
298 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 78%
20.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.0
20.7 Crosses 25.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME York United
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Atletico Ottawa
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.35 xG 1.04
52% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
376 Passes 343
84% Pass Accuracy 81%
17 Box Touches 21
16 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
27.07.2024 York United York United 4-1 HT 1-1 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa KAPL
15.06.2024 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa 1-2 HT 0-1 York United York United CAPL
13.04.2024 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa 2-1 HT 0-0 York United York United CAPL
01.10.2023 York United York United 1-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa CAPL
06.08.2023 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa 3-3 HT 1-2 York United York United CAPL
10.06.2023 York United York United 2-1 HT 1-1 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa KAPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME York United
1-0
AWAY Atletico Ottawa
0.26 xG 0.54
62% Ball Possession 38%
2 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 5
512 Passes 292
88% Pass Accuracy 83%
12 Box Touches 18
14 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH York United vs Atletico Ottawa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

York United edged past Atletico Ottawa 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 28% / 33% / 39% — and on the day York United made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, York United had 62% of the ball to Atletico Ottawa's 38%, shots finished 2-9, expected goals 0.26 to 0.54.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, York United had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for York United and 1.33 for Atletico Ottawa.

What was the final score of York United vs Atletico Ottawa?

York United 1-0 Atletico Ottawa in the Kanada - Premier League on 07/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for York United vs Atletico Ottawa?

Before kick-off our model rated an Atletico Ottawa win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split York United 28%, draw 33%, Atletico Ottawa 39%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Atletico Ottawa), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atletico Ottawa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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