Cavalry 5-4 Vancouver FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kanada - Premier League, 18 Aug 2025

📅18/08/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.47
Draw
17%
4.08
Away
17%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.03
Over 2.5
54%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.59
2-3 Goals
38%
1.76
4-5 Goals
26%
3.01
6+ Goals
10%
10.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
24%
X/2
4%
X/X
7%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
64%
+2.2pp
17%
Draw
21%
-4.6pp
17%
Away Win
15%
+2.5pp
46%
Under 2.5
45%
+0.4pp
54%
Over 2.5
55%
-0.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.6pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cavalry EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Vancouver FC EU Bookmakers 18%
-7% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.43/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.74
-23% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +3%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
368 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 75%
26.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.4
21.4 Crosses 13.1
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cavalry
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Vancouver FC
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.04 xG 0.81
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
403 Passes 253
83% Pass Accuracy 76%
22 Box Touches 15
17 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.07.2025 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Cavalry Cavalry KAPL
19.04.2025 Cavalry Cavalry 1-1 HT 0-1 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC KAPL
29.09.2024 Cavalry Cavalry 0-0 HT 0-0 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC KAPL
27.07.2024 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC 0-1 HT 0-1 Cavalry Cavalry KAPL
17.06.2024 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Cavalry Cavalry CAPL
04.05.2024 Cavalry Cavalry 3-1 HT 2-0 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC CAPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cavalry
5-4
AWAY Vancouver FC
2.86 xG 1.76
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
366 Passes 255
87% Pass Accuracy 82%
33 Box Touches 24
13 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Cavalry vs Vancouver FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cavalry squeezed past Vancouver FC 5-4. Half-time: 3-2. 9 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Cavalry as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 5-4 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Cavalry had 57% of the ball to Vancouver FC's 43%, shots finished 13-12, expected goals 2.86 to 1.76.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cavalry had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Cavalry and 0.33 for Vancouver FC.

What was the final score of Cavalry vs Vancouver FC?

Cavalry 5-4 Vancouver FC in the Kanada - Premier League on 18/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cavalry vs Vancouver FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cavalry win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Cavalry 66%, draw 17%, Vancouver FC 17%. The final score 5-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cavalry), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cavalry) ✓ Over 2.5
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