Atletico Ottawa 2-0 HFX Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kanada - Premier League, 19 Jul 2025

📅19/07/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.02
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
28%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.18
Over 2.5
51%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.55
No
51%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
4.14
2-3 Goals
36%
1.85
4-5 Goals
25%
2.87
6+ Goals
12%
8.46
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.14 — our 27% vs market 18.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
19%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
46%
-1.3pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.1pp
28%
Away Win
29%
-0.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
42%
+7.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
58%
-7.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
60%
-11.4pp
51%
BTTS No
40%
+11.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Ottawa EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY HFX Wanderers EU Bookmakers 32%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.92/1.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.32
-16% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / -18%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
322 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 80%
25.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.8
15.6 Crosses 13.3
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Ottawa
1W-4D-1L
AWAY HFX Wanderers
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.47 xG 1.64
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
354 Passes 346
82% Pass Accuracy 81%
22 Box Touches 19
17 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.05.2025 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers 2-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa KAPL
05.04.2025 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa 2-2 HT 0-1 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers KAPL
29.09.2024 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa 1-1 HT 1-0 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers KAPL
24.08.2024 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers 1-1 HT 0-0 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa KAPL
02.06.2024 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa 2-2 HT 0-1 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers CAPL
27.04.2024 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers 1-3 HT 0-1 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa CAPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Ottawa
2-0
AWAY HFX Wanderers
1.98 xG 1.41
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 5
454 Passes 386
88% Pass Accuracy 86%
36 Box Touches 22
7 Crosses 29
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Atletico Ottawa vs HFX Wanderers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Ottawa beat HFX Wanderers 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Atletico Ottawa as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Atletico Ottawa had 53% of the ball to HFX Wanderers's 47%, shots finished 11-13, expected goals 1.98 to 1.41.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Atletico Ottawa and 1.50 for HFX Wanderers.

What was the final score of Atletico Ottawa vs HFX Wanderers?

Atletico Ottawa 2-0 HFX Wanderers in the Kanada - Premier League on 19/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Ottawa vs HFX Wanderers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Ottawa win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Atletico Ottawa 45%, draw 27%, HFX Wanderers 28%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Ottawa), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atletico Ottawa) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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