York United vs Vancouver FC Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
York United v Vancouver FC — Team-Based Signals
York United vs Vancouver FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
York United 4-0 Vancouver FC — Actual Match Statistics
York United cruised past Vancouver FC 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had York United as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, York United had 46% of the ball to Vancouver FC's 54%, shots finished 16-5, expected goals 2.79 to 0.22.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, York United had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for York United and 0.50 for Vancouver FC.
What was the final score of York United vs Vancouver FC?
York United 4-0 Vancouver FC in the Kanada - Premier League on 19/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for York United vs Vancouver FC?
Before kick-off our model rated a York United win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split York United 41%, draw 29%, Vancouver FC 29%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (York United), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.