York United 3-0 Vancouver FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kanada - Premier League, 27 Apr 2024

📅27/04/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.18
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
31%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
2.03
Over 2.5
40%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.6
No
52%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.88
2-3 Goals
39%
1.84
4-5 Goals
18%
3.17
6+ Goals
11%
10.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.88 — our 32% vs market 20.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-3.5pp
30%
Draw
26%
+4.3pp
31%
Away Win
32%
-0.8pp
60%
Under 2.5
45%
+14.1pp
40%
Over 2.5
55%
-14.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
58%
-10.4pp
52%
BTTS No
42%
+10.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME York United EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Vancouver FC EU Bookmakers 36%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
334 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME York United
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Vancouver FC
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
1.74 xG 1.38
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 2
364 Passes 294
82% Pass Accuracy 76%
30 Box Touches 18
29 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 3
07.10.2023 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC 1-2 HT 1-2 York United York United CAPL
26.08.2023 York United York United 2-1 HT 0-1 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC CAPL
02.07.2023 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC 1-2 HT 1-1 York United York United KAPL
22.04.2023 York United York United 1-2 HT 1-2 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC KAPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME York United
3-0
AWAY Vancouver FC
2.80 xG 0.49
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 5
389 Passes 338
84% Pass Accuracy 79%
23 Box Touches 17
21 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH York United vs Vancouver FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

York United cruised past Vancouver FC 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 30% / 31% — and on the day York United made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, York United had 52% of the ball to Vancouver FC's 48%, shots finished 16-10, expected goals 2.80 to 0.49.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, York United had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for York United and 1.25 for Vancouver FC.

What was the final score of York United vs Vancouver FC?

York United 3-0 Vancouver FC in the Kanada - Premier League on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for York United vs Vancouver FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a York United win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split York United 39%, draw 30%, Vancouver FC 31%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (York United), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (York United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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