Vancouver FC 0-2 York United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kanada - Premier League, 7 Apr 2025

📅07/04/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.38
Draw
24%
3.11
Away
40%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.78
Over 2.5
44%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.75
No
54%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.93
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
3.68
6+ Goals
9%
15.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.93 — our 31% vs market 27.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
22%
X/2
15%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
38%
-2.2pp
24%
Draw
29%
-5.0pp
40%
Away Win
33%
+7.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.9pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vancouver FC EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY York United EU Bookmakers 37%
-30% / -30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
0.40/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.61
-57% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +34%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
320 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 78%
16.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
27.0 Crosses 15.5
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vancouver FC
0W-2D-4L
AWAY York United
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.83 xG 1.31
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
380 Passes 356
81% Pass Accuracy 82%
16 Box Touches 19
17 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.09.2024 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC 0-1 HT 0-1 York United York United KAPL
21.07.2024 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC 1-1 HT 0-0 York United York United KAPL
10.06.2024 York United York United 2-2 HT 2-1 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC CAPL
27.04.2024 York United York United 3-0 HT 0-0 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC CAPL
07.10.2023 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC 1-2 HT 1-2 York United York United CAPL
26.08.2023 York United York United 2-1 HT 0-1 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC CAPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vancouver FC
0-2
AWAY York United
0.97 xG 1.18
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 10
6 Corners 1
304 Passes 315
79% Pass Accuracy 79%
23 Box Touches 25
26 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Vancouver FC vs York United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

York United beat Vancouver FC 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 24% / 40% — and on the day York United made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Vancouver FC had 50% of the ball to York United's 50%, shots finished 12-13, expected goals 0.97 to 1.18.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, York United led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Vancouver FC and 1.83 for York United.

What was the final score of Vancouver FC vs York United?

Vancouver FC 0-2 York United in the Kanada - Premier League on 07/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vancouver FC vs York United?

Before kick-off our model rated an York United win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Vancouver FC 36%, draw 24%, York United 40%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (York United), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (York United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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