Vancouver FC 0-1 York United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kanada - Premier League, 7 Sep 2024

Vancouver FC
0-1 HT 0-1
York United
📅07/09/2024 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Kanada - Premier League – 2024

Vancouver FC vs York United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.38
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
36%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.15
Over 2.5
51%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.55
No
51%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
26%
4.18
2-3 Goals
43%
1.86
4-5 Goals
21%
3.03
6+ Goals
10%
9.43
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.18 — our 26% vs market 18.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
38%
-1.4pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.5pp
36%
Away Win
36%
-0.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
43%
+5.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
57%
-5.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
60%
-11.5pp
51%
BTTS No
40%
+11.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Vancouver FC v York United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vancouver FC EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY York United EU Bookmakers 40%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +12%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
282 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.9
– Crosses 16.3
– Yellow Cards 2.5

Vancouver FC vs York United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vancouver FC
0W-2D-4L
AWAY York United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.05 xG 1.55
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
357 Passes 379
81% Pass Accuracy 84%
16 Box Touches 24
16 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
21.07.2024 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC 1-1 HT 0-0 York United York United KAPL
10.06.2024 York United York United 2-2 HT 2-1 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC CAPL
27.04.2024 York United York United 3-0 HT 0-0 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC CAPL
07.10.2023 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC 1-2 HT 1-2 York United York United CAPL
26.08.2023 York United York United 2-1 HT 0-1 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC CAPL
02.07.2023 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC 1-2 HT 1-1 York United York United KAPL

Vancouver FC 0-1 York United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vancouver FC
0-1
AWAY York United
0.40 xG 0.66
56% Ball Possession 44%
7 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 5
391 Passes 289
82% Pass Accuracy 75%
16 Box Touches 9
27 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Vancouver FC vs York United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

York United nicked a narrow win over Vancouver FC 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (37% / 27% / 36%) promised a tight game; York United found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Vancouver FC had 56% of the ball to York United's 44%, shots finished 7-7, expected goals 0.40 to 0.66.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, York United led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Vancouver FC and 2.00 for York United.

What was the final score of Vancouver FC vs York United?

Vancouver FC 0-1 York United in the Kanada - Premier League on 07/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vancouver FC vs York United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vancouver FC win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Vancouver FC 37%, draw 27%, York United 36%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Vancouver FC), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vancouver FC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →