York United vs Vancouver FC Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
York United v Vancouver FC — Team-Based Signals
York United vs Vancouver FC Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
1-2
HT 1-2
York United
CAPL
2-1
HT 0-1
Vancouver FC
CAPL
1-2
HT 1-1
York United
KAPL
1-2
HT 1-2
Vancouver FC
KAPL
York United 2-2 Vancouver FC — Actual Match Statistics
York United and Vancouver FC shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was York United at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, York United had 49% of the ball to Vancouver FC's 51%, shots finished 3-10, expected goals 0.22 to 1.47.
Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, York United had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for York United and 1.00 for Vancouver FC.
What was the final score of York United vs Vancouver FC?
York United 2-2 Vancouver FC in the Kanada - Premier League on 10/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for York United vs Vancouver FC?
Before kick-off our model rated a York United win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split York United 43%, draw 26%, Vancouver FC 31%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.