Vancouver FC 1-1 York United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kanada - Premier League, 21 Jul 2024

📅21/07/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.89
Draw
21%
3.54
Away
29%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.1
Over 2.5
52%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.61
No
51%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
4.04
2-3 Goals
37%
1.84
4-5 Goals
25%
3.1
6+ Goals
11%
9.99
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
19%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
49%
+0.8pp
21%
Draw
25%
-3.8pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+3.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
58%
-9.4pp
51%
BTTS No
42%
+9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vancouver FC EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY York United EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +31%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
403 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.8
Crosses 18.0
Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vancouver FC
1W-1D-4L
AWAY York United
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.25 xG 1.66
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
316 Passes 374
77% Pass Accuracy 82%
18 Box Touches 24
15 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 2
10.06.2024 York United York United 2-2 HT 2-1 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC CAPL
27.04.2024 York United York United 3-0 HT 0-0 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC CAPL
07.10.2023 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC 1-2 HT 1-2 York United York United CAPL
26.08.2023 York United York United 2-1 HT 0-1 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC CAPL
02.07.2023 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC 1-2 HT 1-1 York United York United KAPL
22.04.2023 York United York United 1-2 HT 1-2 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC KAPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vancouver FC
1-1
AWAY York United
0.83 xG 0.81
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 2
459 Passes 401
90% Pass Accuracy 89%
11 Box Touches 22
17 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Vancouver FC vs York United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vancouver FC and York United couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Vancouver FC at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Vancouver FC had 53% of the ball to York United's 47%, shots finished 9-6, expected goals 0.83 to 0.81.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, York United led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Vancouver FC and 2.00 for York United.

What was the final score of Vancouver FC vs York United?

Vancouver FC 1-1 York United in the Kanada - Premier League on 21/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vancouver FC vs York United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vancouver FC win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Vancouver FC 50%, draw 21%, York United 29%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Vancouver FC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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