Atletico Ottawa vs Valour Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Atletico Ottawa v Valour — Team-Based Signals
Atletico Ottawa vs Valour Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
Valour
CAPL
1-3
HT 0-2
Atletico Ottawa
CAPL
2-0
HT 1-0
Valour
KAPL
1-1
HT 1-1
Atletico Ottawa
CAPL
Atletico Ottawa 2-2 Valour — Actual Match Statistics
Atletico Ottawa and Valour couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.
This one beat our numbers. Atletico Ottawa carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Atletico Ottawa had 56% of the ball to Valour's 44%, shots finished 11-11, expected goals 0.94 to 1.68.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Ottawa had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Atletico Ottawa and 0.50 for Valour.
What was the final score of Atletico Ottawa vs Valour?
Atletico Ottawa 2-2 Valour in the Kanada - Premier League on 21/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Atletico Ottawa vs Valour?
Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Ottawa win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Atletico Ottawa 56%, draw 24%, Valour 20%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.