Valour 0-2 Atletico Ottawa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kanada - Premier League, 9 Jun 2024

📅09/06/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
3.5
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
49%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.8
Over 2.5
45%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.82
No
54%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.09
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.78
6+ Goals
8%
16.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.09 — our 29% vs market 26.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
21%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
23%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
25%
-1.7pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.5pp
49%
Away Win
49%
+0.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.3pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valour EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Ottawa EU Bookmakers 53%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
1.22/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.11
+30% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -44%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
278 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 76%
18.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.2
13.5 Crosses 16.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Valour
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Atletico Ottawa
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.96 xG 1.36
57% Ball Possession 43%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
409 Passes 293
83% Pass Accuracy 78%
19 Box Touches 17
24 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.05.2024 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa 2-0 HT 2-0 Valour Valour CAPL
24.09.2023 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa 0-1 HT 0-0 Valour Valour CAPL
19.08.2023 Valour Valour 1-3 HT 0-2 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa CAPL
09.07.2023 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa 2-0 HT 1-0 Valour Valour KAPL
23.04.2023 Valour Valour 1-1 HT 1-1 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa CAPL
18.09.2022 Valour Valour 1-1 HT 0-0 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa CAPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Valour
0-2
AWAY Atletico Ottawa
0.38 xG 2.38
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 8
300 Passes 487
82% Pass Accuracy 86%
10 Box Touches 22
12 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Valour vs Atletico Ottawa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Ottawa beat Valour 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Atletico Ottawa as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Valour had 40% of the ball to Atletico Ottawa's 60%, shots finished 8-14, expected goals 0.38 to 2.38.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Ottawa led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Valour and 1.50 for Atletico Ottawa.

What was the final score of Valour vs Atletico Ottawa?

Valour 0-2 Atletico Ottawa in the Kanada - Premier League on 09/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valour vs Atletico Ottawa?

Before kick-off our model rated an Atletico Ottawa win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Valour 23%, draw 28%, Atletico Ottawa 49%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Ottawa), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Atletico Ottawa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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