Cavalry 1-0 Forge — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kanada - Premier League, 9 Jun 2024

📅09/06/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.05
Draw
22%
3.28
Away
35%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.75
Over 2.5
47%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.82
No
51%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.93
2-3 Goals
45%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
3.98
6+ Goals
6%
18.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
22%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
45%
-1.5pp
21%
Draw
27%
-5.5pp
35%
Away Win
28%
+7.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
53%
+0.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
47%
-0.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.2pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cavalry EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Forge EU Bookmakers 32%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
1.58/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/0.73
+10% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +40%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
276 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 72%
23.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.8
23.2 Crosses 17.3
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cavalry
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Forge
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.77 xG 0.71
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
368 Passes 312
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Box Touches 16
23 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 3
13.04.2024 Forge Forge 2-1 HT 0-0 Cavalry Cavalry CAPL
29.10.2023 Forge Forge 2-1 HT 0-0 Cavalry Cavalry CAPL
15.10.2023 Cavalry Cavalry 1-2 HT 0-1 Forge Forge CAPL
10.09.2023 Forge Forge 0-0 HT 0-0 Cavalry Cavalry CAPL
05.08.2023 Cavalry Cavalry 3-0 HT 0-0 Forge Forge CAPL
03.06.2023 Cavalry Cavalry 1-1 HT 1-0 Forge Forge CAPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cavalry
1-0
AWAY Forge
1.12 xG 0.16
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
384 Passes 374
85% Pass Accuracy 85%
24 Box Touches 9
23 Crosses 9
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Cavalry vs Forge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cavalry nicked a narrow win over Forge 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Cavalry as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Cavalry had 51% of the ball to Forge's 49%, shots finished 15-7, expected goals 1.12 to 0.16.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Forge led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Cavalry and 1.17 for Forge.

What was the final score of Cavalry vs Forge?

Cavalry 1-0 Forge in the Kanada - Premier League on 09/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cavalry vs Forge?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cavalry win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Cavalry 43%, draw 21%, Forge 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cavalry), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cavalry) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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